New Jersey's White Christmas Odds: A Look at Historical Data

Based on the history of weather in New Jersey, what are the odds we'll have a White Christmas this year?

Photo by Aaron Burden on Unsplash

While it might be too early for legitimate predictions of a White Christmas, it's not too early to check some historical White Christmas data for New Jersey.

Will New Jersey Have A White Christmas?

We'll get into some long-range forecast in a little bit, but first, let's take a look at the historical probabilities of a White Christmas in New Jersey.

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In an article at nj.com last year, they reported on the probability of snow for Christmas on data compiled by NOAA, which looked at the data from the past thirty years or so.

Photo by Kristen Sturdivant on Unsplash

If you're rooting for New Jersey snow this Christmas we're sorry to say the odds are against you no matter where you are in the Garden State.

What Are The Historic Odds Of A White Christmas In New Jersey?

Remember, these odds are not based on a current forecast, but on historical data from Christmas's past.

North Jersey - 20% to 40% chance.

Central Jersey - 10% to 20% chance

Southern New Jersey - 5% to 10% chance.

Our Chief Meteorologist Dan Zarrow, one of the best in the business, is not a big fan of extended forecasts because of their lack of reliability and accuracy.

We did find one extended outlook for Christmas Day in New Jersey.

Accuweather says extreme northwestern New Jersey will see freezing rain, central parts of the state just rain and a high of 41, and in southern New Jersey Christmas Day will be rainy with a high of 49 degrees.